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How bad the housing market really is. in: Subjects › Real Estate

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Unless you live in SoCal I don't think the reality is the same. Here's a few links for those who are interested:

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Recorded sale in late 2006 for $288,000. Currently listed at $74,900. Taxed at 2006 sale value.

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Sold in early 2007 for $310,000. Currently listed at $74,100. Taxed at $306,000.

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Recorded sale in Nov 2008 for $62,000. 20 years ago it sold for $48,000.

Message edited by: CptSavAHo on 2008-11-19 16:28:59 CST

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First one looks like it had been abused by inconsiderate tenants. There appears to be factories and apartment houses just past the east end of the cul-de-sac, with train tracks adjacent.

On the second one, note the bars on the windows and doors - ghetto? "Property will need a cosmetic rehab."

Message edited by: Xnarg on 2008-11-19 16:06:25 CST
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Amazing to think that someone would pay so much for so little. I understand that California is awesome, the weather is great and the beaches are close to most cities, but high 200s and low 300s for those condos is ridiculous, whether you are in a housing boom or not. The current list prices sound about right if not a little high.

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All three are also in Santa Ana. Not the pinnacle of the Southern California lifestyle by any means.

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mdg1977 said:All three are also in Santa Ana. Not the pinnacle of the Southern California lifestyle by any means.

Exactly the point. Roughly averaging $300k for a condo in the ghetto. Another unit from the same complex sold for $60k in 2000 then for $280k in 2006. Predatory lending at its finest. These locations haven't changed much in demographics either, these condos have been ghetto for the last 20 years.

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I purchased my house in 2000 in a similar market environment --- and I have no regrets

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I wouldn't call this the housing market being bad. I would call it the housing market getting back to reality.

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I think Sally hit it on the head. Those units are disgusting.

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If you want to see more properties like these, check out the 50% off thread on this housing forum

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I would still characterize the market in general as bad since a "good" market would never allow itself to be as fraught with corruption and speculation as the one exemplified by the above listings. The prices have descended back to earth, but the market has proven its susceptibility to "badness".

I'm still puzzled as to why someone would make the decision to buy these condos at their peak prices when cheaper rents must have been available. Sure, everyone was caught up in the spirit of the bubble, but 300,000 for these hovels? Do fast food employees make $70,000 out in SoCal?

Message edited by: ajohnamous on 2008-11-19 16:50:05 CST
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I wouldn't be surprised if multiple families were crammed into those tiny apartments.

I know people who fell into the bubble trap. They thought that if they didn't buy, they would "be priced out forever" - and this was in 2003. Their homes doubled in price between then and 2006, but they didn't sell. They thought the value would continue to increase forever.

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ajohnamous said:I would still characterize the market in general as bad since a "good" market would never allow itself to be as fraught with corruption and speculation as the one exemplified by the above listings. The prices have descended back to earth, but the market has proven its susceptibility to "badness".

I'm still puzzled as to why someone would make the decision to buy these condos at their peak prices when cheaper rents must have been available. Sure, everyone was caught up in the spirit of the bubble, but 300,000 for these hovels? Do fast food employees make $70,000 out in SoCal?

Its called a no-doc loan. Income was stated and never verified.

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CptSavAHo said:Its called a no-doc loan. Income was stated and never verified.I bet those borrowers were stated as business owners making quite a bit of money. To back the claim that they were business owners, a CPA letter was provided saying that this particular CPA did the books for the business.

Gardeners were stated to be owners of a gardening/landscape maintenance business. Cleaning people were stated to be owning a house-cleaning service. Any person with any license was made to be a professional-whatever-the-license-was-for. Nurses became owners or home-care businesses. A person with a resale license became the owner of a profitable eBay business.

Message edited by: alpinewhite on 2008-11-19 17:59:46 CST
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mdg1977 said:All three are also in Santa Ana. Not the pinnacle of the Southern California lifestyle by any means.[/Q

But San Diego is. My brother in law bought a 3 br home in San Diego for $677000 about 3 1/2 years ago. He just sold it(got transferred) for $405,000 and considered himself very lucky. He had put in a pretty nice pool after buying it also. I live in central Cal and prices are almost 50% less than the high a few years ago. Main reason is the glut of foreclosing and short sales driving down the market.

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CptSavAHo said:mdg1977 said:All three are also in Santa Ana. Not the pinnacle of the Southern California lifestyle by any means.

Exactly the point. Roughly averaging $300k for a condo in the ghetto. Another unit from the same complex sold for $60k in 2000 then for $280k in 2006. Predatory lending at its finest. These locations haven't changed much in demographics either, these condos have been ghetto for the last 20 years.

Say what? Predatory lending is responsible for people paying way more than what something is worth? Please explain just how that takes place?

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Mickie3 said:CptSavAHo said:mdg1977 said:All three are also in Santa Ana. Not the pinnacle of the Southern California lifestyle by any means.

Exactly the point. Roughly averaging $300k for a condo in the ghetto. Another unit from the same complex sold for $60k in 2000 then for $280k in 2006. Predatory lending at its finest. These locations haven't changed much in demographics either, these condos have been ghetto for the last 20 years.


Say what? Predatory lending is responsible for people paying way more than what something is worth? Please explain just how that takes place?

Like I said if you don't live here...

That neighborhood of Santa Ana probably has about 10% literacy rate and about 3% of the population that can speak english. Tons of lenders went around telling people just sign here and own your dream home...

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I thought the housing market in Oakland, CA is bad enough until I saw this.. The housing market in Oakland is suffering from a 60% correction. 400k houses are sold for 160k. It seems like the working class in North Cal are twice as rich as those in South Cal.

Anyway, you have to PAY me 100k a year to have me living in those neighborhood....

Message edited by: WildcatTofu on 2008-11-20 02:31:04 CST
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ghetto homes appreciated to unrealistic levels , largely not because of predatory loans on poor unsuspecting people, but because of investors and speculators, who could buy, hold 90 days and make 30-40k selling. It was not the poor, illiterate people doing this.

Sometime in 2007, the last speculator in line got caught with the steaming bag of poop these properties are when they could not flip again. Thats when many stopped paying the mortgages.

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SUCKISSTAPLES said:ghetto homes appreciated to unrealistic levels , largely not because of predatory loans on poor unsuspecting people, but because of investors and speculators, who could buy, hold 90 days and make 30-40k selling. It was not the poor, illiterate people doing this.

Sometime in 2007, the last speculator in line got caught with the steaming bag of poop these properties are when they could not flip again. Thats when many stopped paying the mortgages.

Maybe elsewhere, but around here the vast majority of foreclosures are owned by a Martinez, Sanchez, etc. Scumbag Realtors who knew they could exploit the immigrant population did not hesitate to do so. In the end the average tax payer takes the hit as the majority of these 'home owners' had questionable immigration status and were fraudulently using invalid or stolen social security numbers.

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